FGUS72 KJAX 012025
ESFJAX
FLC001-003-007-019-023-031-035-041-047-083-089-107-109-121-125-
GAC001-003-005-025-039-049-065-069-101-127-161-229-299-305-022000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
325 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...

FOR THE SPRING OF 2012...THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS
CALLING FOR A BELOW NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

EXISTING CONDITIONS...
RAINFALL OVER THE LAST 30 DAYS ENDING FEB 29TH...BASED ON SERFC
MULTISENSOR PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES...SHOWS BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA. BELOW
NORMAL STREAMFLOWS HAVE ALSO BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA...AND
SOIL MOISTURES ARE ALSO BELOW NORMAL.

FUTURE PRECIPITATION...
LOOKING LONG TERM THROUGH THROUGH MARCH...WHICH IS THE PRIMARY
RIVER FLOOD MONTH...THE ONE MONTH OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK SUMMARY...
RIVER FLOOD CLIMATOLOGY DEPICTS THAT THE SPRING FLOOD SEASON
GENERALLY STARTS IN EARLY JANUARY AND GOES THROUGH THE END OF MARCH
WITH A PEAK PERIOD DURING MID MARCH.

GIVEN CURRENT OBSERVATIONS...TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION FORECASTS
FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA...THE NUMBER OF RIVER
FLOODS IS EXPECTED TO BE LOWER THAN NORMAL FOR MARCH. AS A
RESULT...FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE BELOW NORMAL INTO EARLY APRIL FOR
THIS REGION.

&&

INFORMATION USED TO COMPLETE THIS FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK WAS
PROVIDED COURTESY OF THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...THE
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL
SURVEY...THE ST. JOHNS RIVER WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT AND THE
SUWANNEE RIVER WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT.

FOR MORE SPECIFIC HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA...PLEASE VISIT THE
FOLLOWING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITES:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAX
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SERFC

$$

SEP