FXUS62 KJAX 241808
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
208 PM EDT TUE APR 24 2012

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
BREEZY CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS AFTN UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WITH
SOME GUSTS APPROACHING 30 MPH ACROSS SE GA...WILL KEEP LAKE WIND
ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL FOR
TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. WITH W/NW
WINDS TILTING MORE TO THE SW AND DECREASING SOME...COLD ADVECTION
WILL DIMINISH. THUS...EXPECT LOW TEMPERATURES TNGT TO BE NOT AS
CHILLY AS LAST NIGHT...WITH MID TO UPPER 40S INLAND TO THE MID 50S
ON THE COAST. THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR WEDNESDAY...WITH
HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE INFLUENCE
THE WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. WITH RETURN FLOW
AROUND THE HIGH...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE BACK ABOVE NORMAL.
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MOISTURE THIS PERIOD TO SUPPORT PRECIP...AND
ONLY MINIMAL CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED.

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ANOTHER DRY DAY IS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY...AS THE HEAT BUILDS. THE
COMBINATION OF INCREASED LAYER MOISTURE...AND A SERIES OF WEAK
TROUGHS WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. A SLIGHT COOL DOWN CAN BE EXPECTED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK
FOLLOWING A TROUGH PASSAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL
REMAIN GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET...AS
ATMOSPHERE BECOMES LESS MIXED. AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
REGION WINDS SHOULD NOT GUSTY AS MUCH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A LITTLE
TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...SO
GUSTS MAY INCREASE LATER IN THE DAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE GRADUALLY DECREASING ON THE OFFSHORE LEGS TO UNDER 20
KNOTS...THUS WILL CANCEL SCA...USING SCEC TONIGHT. WILL KEEP SCEC
FOR THE INNER LEGS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SCEC CONDITIONS OFFSHORE
WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE WEEKEND.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
CURRENT FIRE WEATHER DANGER PERSISTS ACROSS ENTIRE AREA...WITH GUSTY
WINDS...LOW RH AND HIGH DISPERSION VALUES. FOR WEDNESDAY...SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD RESULT IN A LITTLE LESS WIND...WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN MOISTURE KEEPING RH VALUES UP A BIT. THEREFORE...STILL
EXPECT TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA IN FL AT LEAST MINIMALLY
WEDNESDAY...BUT NOT EXPECTING CRITERIA TO BE MET IN GA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  48  83  58  87 /   0   0  10  10
SSI  56  78  62  84 /   0   0   0  10
JAX  47  83  57  87 /   0   0   0  10
SGJ  55  78  60  83 /   0   0   0  10
GNV  47  82  55  88 /   0   0   0  10
OCF  48  82  55  87 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-
     BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-
     MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-
     FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-
     SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR APPLING-
     ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL CAMDEN-
     COASTAL GLYNN-COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-JEFF
     DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR APPLING-BACON-
     COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-WAYNE.

AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/STRUBLE/KEEGAN